Super League 1 Greece 2026/27
Dixon-Coles Predictive Intelligence · 8,000 Monte Carlo Simulations · Matchday 8 of 26
Regular Season Standings & Advanced Indicators
Click any column to sort · Click any row to inspect deep club dossier
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form | xGF | xGA | xG Diff | Finishing Diff | Proj Pts | Title % | Top 4 % | Rel Risk % | PPDA | Poss % | Field Tilt % |
|---|
Matchday 9 Predictions
Poisson 1X2 Probabilities & Expected Goals
Season Projections (Monte Carlo)
Simulated 8,000 runs using Dixon-Coles Poisson model
Monte Carlo Season Simulation Breakdown
Forecasts based on 8,000 simulations of remaining regular season fixtures
Upcoming Matchday 9 Fixtures & Score Forecasts
Tri-color 1X2 probabilities and top Poisson scorelines calculated by Dixon-Coles bivariate model
Tactical DNA & Expected Goals Efficiency Quadrants
Hover on any club bubble for detailed performance statistics · Crosshairs mark league median
Expected Goals Production: xG Created vs Conceded / Match
Lower-right is dominant (high creation, low concession). Upper-left is struggling.
Pressing Identity: PPDA vs Possession %
Inverted PPDA axis: Lower PPDA indicates higher pressing intensity in opponent half.
Golden Boot vs Expected Goals (xG)
Solid bar is actual goals; white tick marker represents expected goals (xG)
Chance Creation (Shot-Creating Actions / 90)
Two offensive actions directly leading to a shot within 90 minutes
Action Value Added (VAEP / 90)
Offensive value (cyan) and defensive value (emerald) added per 90
Ball Progression Engines (Prog / 90)
Progressive passes (emerald) and progressive carries (cyan) per 90
Super League 1 Comprehensive Player Matrix
Click any column header to sort · Filter by role and text search · Click row to open dossier
| # | Player | Role | Club | Min | Goals | xG | Finishing Diff | Ast | xA | SCA/90 | Prog/90 | Def/90 | Aerial % | VAEP/90 |
|---|
Finishing: Luck vs Placement Skill
x-axis: Goals minus xG · y-axis: xGOT minus xG per shot · Bubble size: Minutes
Goalkeeper Shot-Stopping Efficiency
Goals Prevented (+GP) measures post-shot xG faced minus actual goals conceded
| Keeper | Min | GA | Saves | Box Sv | Save % | Goals Prev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Stefan Ortega
OSFP
|
630 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 89% | +2.30 |
|
Alberto Brignoli
AEK
|
360 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 83% | +2.26 |
Marios Siabanis
VOL
|
540 | 8 | 17 | 12 | 68% | +1.03 |
|
Jirí Pavlenka
PAOK
|
433 | 5 | 13 | 9 | 72% | +0.24 |
|
Iñaki Peña
PAO
|
720 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 76% | +0.08 |
|
Ricardo Velho
ARIS
|
720 | 14 | 19 | 8 | 58% | -0.08 |
|
Thomas Strakosha
AEK
|
270 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 83% | -0.27 |
Lefteris Choutesiotis
ATR
|
630 | 12 | 24 | 19 | 67% | -0.30 |
|
Nikos Christogeorgos
OFI
|
585 | 9 | 23 | 15 | 72% | -0.54 |
Georgios Athanasiadis
IRA
|
720 | 11 | 29 | 13 | 72% | -0.58 |
|
Ioannis Gelios
KAL
|
360 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 59% | -0.61 |
|
Nikola Vasiljević
KAL
|
270 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 62% | -1.04 |
Yevhenii Kucherenko
PAN
|
540 | 9 | 19 | 11 | 68% | -1.19 |
|
Moisés Ramirez
KIF
|
720 | 11 | 19 | 12 | 63% | -1.29 |
Niv Eliasi
LEV
|
540 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 61% | -1.54 |
|
Nikos Papadopoulos
AST
|
540 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 54% | -4.34 |
Positional Benchmark Radars (8-Axis Percentile Profiles)
Each axis is shaded by percentile rank (0 to 100) benchmarked against positional peers
Defensive Volume & Aerial Duels
Tackles, interceptions, recoveries, clearances and blocks per 90
Defensive Actions / 90
Aerial Duel Win % (Min 20 Duels)
Attacking Dependency & Minutes Share
Left: share of club's total xG+xA created · Right: squad minutes tier distribution
Attacking Dependency
Minutes Share Distribution
Match Day breakdown
Each round on its own terms: the biggest win highlighted, every fixture with expected goals, a table of all fourteen clubs for that round, and the players who produced the numbers. Latest round opens first; the chips switch panels.
Match Day 1 7 matches · 24 goals · 19.6 xG
3.4 goals per match. Highlighted below: the round's biggest win, the full fixture list with expected goals, a table of all fourteen clubs for this round only, and the individual numbers behind it.
Goals
Best individual performance
Fixtures and expected goals
Result and xG for both sides. Rounds are the provider's own match day numbering.
This round's table
Fourteen clubs, one match each. The bar is xG minus xGA, so it reads the performance behind the points.
Finishing against expectation, this round
Goals minus xG, from the centre out. Bar to the right means the finishing beat the chances, left means it fell short. Sorted by the size of the gap, with the raw numbers underneath.
Chance creation, this round
Shot-creating actions in the match, with key passes underneath. Twenty minutes minimum.
Match Day 2 7 matches · 15 goals · 17.2 xG
2.1 goals per match. Highlighted below: the round's biggest win, the full fixture list with expected goals, a table of all fourteen clubs for this round only, and the individual numbers behind it.
Goals
Best individual performance
Fixtures and expected goals
Result and xG for both sides. Rounds are the provider's own match day numbering.
This round's table
Fourteen clubs, one match each. The bar is xG minus xGA, so it reads the performance behind the points.
Finishing against expectation, this round
Goals minus xG, from the centre out. Bar to the right means the finishing beat the chances, left means it fell short. Sorted by the size of the gap, with the raw numbers underneath.
Chance creation, this round
Shot-creating actions in the match, with key passes underneath. Twenty minutes minimum.
Match Day 3 7 matches · 19 goals · 16.0 xG
2.7 goals per match. Highlighted below: the round's biggest win, the full fixture list with expected goals, a table of all fourteen clubs for this round only, and the individual numbers behind it.
Goals
Best individual performance
Fixtures and expected goals
Result and xG for both sides. Rounds are the provider's own match day numbering.
This round's table
Fourteen clubs, one match each. The bar is xG minus xGA, so it reads the performance behind the points.
Finishing against expectation, this round
Goals minus xG, from the centre out. Bar to the right means the finishing beat the chances, left means it fell short. Sorted by the size of the gap, with the raw numbers underneath.
Chance creation, this round
Shot-creating actions in the match, with key passes underneath. Twenty minutes minimum.
Match Day 4 7 matches · 14 goals · 19.9 xG
2.0 goals per match. Highlighted below: the round's biggest win, the full fixture list with expected goals, a table of all fourteen clubs for this round only, and the individual numbers behind it.
Goals
Best individual performance
Fixtures and expected goals
Result and xG for both sides. Rounds are the provider's own match day numbering.
This round's table
Fourteen clubs, one match each. The bar is xG minus xGA, so it reads the performance behind the points.
Finishing against expectation, this round
Goals minus xG, from the centre out. Bar to the right means the finishing beat the chances, left means it fell short. Sorted by the size of the gap, with the raw numbers underneath.
Chance creation, this round
Shot-creating actions in the match, with key passes underneath. Twenty minutes minimum.
Match Day 5 7 matches · 16 goals · 16.4 xG
2.3 goals per match. Highlighted below: the round's biggest win, the full fixture list with expected goals, a table of all fourteen clubs for this round only, and the individual numbers behind it.
Goals
Best individual performance
Fixtures and expected goals
Result and xG for both sides. Rounds are the provider's own match day numbering.
This round's table
Fourteen clubs, one match each. The bar is xG minus xGA, so it reads the performance behind the points.
Finishing against expectation, this round
Goals minus xG, from the centre out. Bar to the right means the finishing beat the chances, left means it fell short. Sorted by the size of the gap, with the raw numbers underneath.
Chance creation, this round
Shot-creating actions in the match, with key passes underneath. Twenty minutes minimum.
Match Day 6 7 matches · 20 goals · 16.1 xG
2.9 goals per match. Highlighted below: the round's biggest win, the full fixture list with expected goals, a table of all fourteen clubs for this round only, and the individual numbers behind it.
Goals
Best individual performance
Fixtures and expected goals
Result and xG for both sides. Rounds are the provider's own match day numbering.
This round's table
Fourteen clubs, one match each. The bar is xG minus xGA, so it reads the performance behind the points.
Finishing against expectation, this round
Goals minus xG, from the centre out. Bar to the right means the finishing beat the chances, left means it fell short. Sorted by the size of the gap, with the raw numbers underneath.
Chance creation, this round
Shot-creating actions in the match, with key passes underneath. Twenty minutes minimum.
Match Day 7 6 matches · 21 goals · 20.7 xG
3.5 goals per match. Highlighted below: the round's biggest win, the full fixture list with expected goals, a table of all fourteen clubs for this round only, and the individual numbers behind it.
Goals
Best individual performance
Fixtures and expected goals
Result and xG for both sides. Rounds are the provider's own match day numbering.
This round's table
Fourteen clubs, one match each. The bar is xG minus xGA, so it reads the performance behind the points.
Finishing against expectation, this round
Goals minus xG, from the centre out. Bar to the right means the finishing beat the chances, left means it fell short. Sorted by the size of the gap, with the raw numbers underneath.
Chance creation, this round
Shot-creating actions in the match, with key passes underneath. Twenty minutes minimum.
Match Day 8 7 matches · 23 goals · 15.8 xG
3.3 goals per match. Highlighted below: the round's biggest win, the full fixture list with expected goals, a table of all fourteen clubs for this round only, and the individual numbers behind it.
Goals
Best individual performance
The provider has not published xG for this match yet, so VAEP carries the dominance argument here.
Fixtures and expected goals
Result and xG for both sides. Rounds are the provider's own match day numbering.
This round's table
Fourteen clubs, one match each. The bar is xG minus xGA, so it reads the performance behind the points.
Finishing against expectation, this round
Goals minus xG, from the centre out. Bar to the right means the finishing beat the chances, left means it fell short. Sorted by the size of the gap, with the raw numbers underneath.
Chance creation, this round
Shot-creating actions in the match, with key passes underneath. Twenty minutes minimum.
Full player numbers are not published yet for Olympiacos 5-0 Kalamata. The provider posts the box score a day or two after the final whistle; the scoreline, goal events and value numbers below are live. Re-run the collector to fill them in.
Analytical Takeaways & Model Signals
Data-grounded editorial findings generated from matchday performance data